Warren Central
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #126
Shelbyville Regional Rank #26
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 0.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Wildcat Invitational Marion County Brownsburg Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conf. Nike Twilight NCXC JV Invite Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Shelbyville Regional
Date 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/9 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 990 1,113 1,073 1,013 991 958 1,010 949 980 1,073
Team Adjusted Rating 1,054 1,005 975 944 942 975 921 974 1,003
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Wildcat Invitational Marion County Brownsburg Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conf. Nike Twilight NCXC JV Invite Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Shelbyville Regional
701  Byron Norris 12 18:02 18:23 17:42 18:01 17:51 17:23 17:55 18:18 17:57 18:18 18:12
968  Jonathan Haynes 12 18:25 18:31 18:16
1,018  Jackson Haynes 12 18:29 19:10 18:59 19:49 18:24 18:23 18:33 18:30 18:12
1,210  Eli Carter 11 18:45 20:37 19:08 19:05 19:03 18:44 18:31 18:30 18:39 18:33 18:47
1,222  Triston Evans 12 18:46 18:38 19:00 19:19 18:45 19:00 18:37 18:51 19:13 18:27 19:28
1,237  Adrian Perez-Chavez 11 18:47 20:23 19:42 18:39 18:51 19:26 18:26 18:32 18:46 18:30 18:52
1,318  Harris Barker 12 18:54 20:37 18:29 18:53 18:46 18:49 19:21
Cobe Mattox 10 19:01 20:18 19:09 19:16 19:16 18:58 19:15 18:53 18:24
Mark Barnes 12 21:22 20:37 21:29 21:55 21:56 20:59 20:54
Caleb Barbon 10 21:36 19:56 24:15 22:14 22:04 21:17 20:59




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 0.0%
Sectionals 100% 6.1 182 0.5 93.0 6.5



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Byron Norris 100% 126.1 100.0% 100.0%
Jonathan Haynes 100% 148.7 100.0% 99.7%
Eli Carter 99.8% 171.2 99.7% 74.5%
Triston Evans 99.5% 172.5 99.4% 72.3%
Adrian Perez-Chavez 99.6% 174.3 99.4% 67.0%
Harris Barker 97.8% 182.6 94.8% 40.3%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Byron Norris 29.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.0 1.8 2.7
Jonathan Haynes 33.3 0.0
Eli Carter 38.8
Triston Evans 39.1
Adrian Perez-Chavez 39.8
Harris Barker 42.5